Wednesday, 2 February 2011

Pemex turns to deepwater to reduce decline

Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex), the Mexican national oil company, finds itself in the midst of a classic good-news/bad-news scenario.

The bad news begins with the fact that production from its giant offshore Cantarell field continues to fall, with corresponding declines in revenue. Total Pemex production in 2009 fell by 7.3% – most of the loss coming from Cantarell.

To add to the gloom, Pemex may be facing the prospect of importing oil for the first time in over 30 years. The state oil company says the imported oil would feed domestic refineries, which are running below capacity, and reduce Mexico’s reliance on imported fuels. Demand for gasoline and diesel exceeds 500,000 b/d. Falling oil production could turn Mexico into a net oil importer before 2020, but the current import proposal is said to be aimed at improving refinery profitability. Nevertheless, it marks a turning point in Mexico’s oil policy and is bad news both financially and politically. Production declines have reduced Mexico’s annual government budget and credit rating.

If that is not enough bad news, recurring violence from the drug cartels that menace parts of the country disrupts work and affects morale on some projects in Mexico. Earlier this year, five workers were kidnapped at the front gate of the Gigante No. 1 natural gas plant in the Burgos basin. They have not been heard from since. Another 30 other employees of contractors in the same region have been reported missing. Analysts are speculating that the “Nigerian method” is being exported to Mexico – referring to the Nigerian Movement for the Emancipation of the Nigerian Delta (MEND) that has targeted oil and gas installations in that country.

Good news

The good news is that, in the face of all the bad news, Pemex has recently invited outside operators to join them in finding and developing offshore oil and gas resources, particularly in deepwater.

Pemex announced last month that it may offer four exploration and production contracts immediately and three more by the end of the year. Terms of the contracts to be offered are not yet clear, but Carlos Morales, chief of Exploration and Production, told Bloomberg News that “bonuses” will be paid to outside operators based on the volume and speed of oil recovered and the safety of the projects.

Pemex says it expects IOCs such as ExxonMobil, Royal Dutch Shell, and Chevron to help develop offshore reserves. The new policy toward outside operators was made possible after changes to Mexico’s oil laws in 2008 allowed it to hire foreign companies and they were announced – perhaps not coincidentally – following a moratorium on US offshore deepwater drilling.


In the past, Pemex has relied on contractors and service companies for assistance in developing hydrocarbon reserves, but by constitutional law and public opinion it could not allow outside operators to conduct business in Mexico. The proposed new contracts will allow Pemex to work with companies with deepwater exploration experience, and will attract new financial sources for investments, the company says.

Pemex needs the exploration and production proficiency for some fields more than the equipment, Morales said. However, since outside oil companies are not allowed to own the oil or book the reserves, it is unclear if they will be eager to partner with Pemex.

Assuming that experienced deepwater operators join forces with Pemex, the company says it expects deepwater production to start by 2015. It has announced a set of strategies to reach that goal:

Accelerate incorporation of proven reserves
Accelerate the start of production
Strengthen technical abilities
Increase execution capacity
Ensure availability of drilling rigs required to carry out the activities considered in the investment portfolio.  





















More good news


Meanwhile, Pemex has announced that it will spend $269 billion by 2019 to increase production. Pemex recently presented a 2011 budget proposal, including non-investment expenditure, of 400 billion pesos ($31 billion) to the Finance Ministry, up from the 260 billion earmarked for this year. About 80% of its investments will be allocated to exploration and production, the company says.

Another piece of good news for Pemex is that production is ahead of schedule at the Ku-Maloob-Zaap (KMZ) complex in the Bay of Campeche.

Pemex discovered the KMZ field northwest of Cantarell in the Bay of Campeche in 1979. The field, 105 km (65 mi) from Ciudad del Carmen, is comprised of three relatively large fields – Ku, Maloob, and Zaap. Pemex’s development plan consisted of drilling up to 82 fields and installing 17 production platforms, as well as installing an oil pipeline of 166 km (103 mi) length to transport production to shore. It expected that by 2011, production would reach 800,000 b/d (130,000 cu m/d) of oil and 282 MMcf/d (8 MMcu m/d) of natural gas.

By November 2009, the field had already surpassed those targets. Oil production was 802,002 b/d and, as a result of production declines at the Cantarell field, KMZ became Mexico’s most productive oil field.

Controlling the decline

At Cantarell, Pemex’s strategy is to manage the decline. Cantarell’s original high production rate resulted primarily from a natural gas bubble that maintained pressure within the reservoir. Over a period of time, reservoir pressure fell. In 2004, Pemex recognized that output from the field would decline steeply beginning in 2006 at a rate of about 14% a year.

In 2006, output fell by 13.1%, and in 2008 it fell another 33%. Pemex invested 38 billion pesos ($2.88 billion) in 2008 to install 20 wells and dehydration and desalination plants at Cantarell to mitigate the decline.

Pemex says these efforts already have resulted in a reduced rate of decline in production in recent months compared to previous years.

Although reducing the rate of decline in production is important, that alone will not solve Mexico’s oil woes. It remains to be seen going forward how the possible introduction of experienced deepwater operators into Pemex’s strategy for developing new reserves may play out. It is at least one indicator that Mexico may be moving to a new era in national oil policy.

Tuesday, 1 February 2011

Oil spill costs BP £25.2 billion

The British energy giant have posted their first loss in nearly two decades following the costly oil spill off the Gulf of Mexico.


BP's annual replacement cost loss of $4.9bn (£3.1bn) compares with profits of $13.96bn last year and includes a $40.9bn charge from to the spill, which blighted the company for much of 2010 and cost former chief executive Tony Hayward his job.
Fourth-quarter results showed replacement cost profits of $4.4bn, as a big rise in oil prices outweighed a 9pc drop in oil and gas production. This was less than the $4.9bn expected by analysts and BP shares fell 1pc in early trading.
The company also added an extra $1bn to its earlier $40bn estimate of the total cost of the Gulf of Mexico oil spill, at a time when analysts have been starting to cut their estimates of the bill.

Monday, 31 January 2011

Peemex fears drinking straw effect as USA Oil majors drill deeper, faster with latest drill ship technology and have more capital


Officials at state oil monopoly Petroleos Mexicanos, or Pemex, can do little more than watch from the sidelines as oil majors break deep-drilling records on the U.S. side of the Gulf of Mexico.
The recent startup of the massive Perdido offshore drilling hub — a joint-venture of Royal Dutch Shell Plc (RDSB), Chevron Corp. (CVX), and BP Plc (BP) — even has some Mexicans fearful that oil from the Mexican side could seep over and get sucked up in what has been dubbed locally as “the drinking straw effect.”
Perdido is a floating complex 200 miles from the Texas coast that can be fed with oil and gas from nearby deposits. The first ones — Great White, Silvertip, and Tobago — are expected to reach average daily output of 100,000 or more barrels of oil equivalent.
As Pemex doesn’t have the technology to drill anywhere near the depth of the deep-water experts, and under Mexican law can’t share risk with them, government officials found themselves on the defensive as Perdido went on stream.
Energy Minister Georgina Kessel and Foreign Minister Patricia Espinosa said in a joint statement there was no clear information that cross-border deposits exist that would cause the “drinking straw effect.”
“The Foreign Ministry and Energy Ministry wish to stress that they are taking all the necessary measures to protect the sovereign rights of Mexico concerning natural resources in the Gulf of Mexico,” the statement said.
While a binational moratorium on drilling beyond the 200-mile territorial waters in the Gulf expired recently, the statement said, Mexico was seeking an extension.
Global oil giants have been learning the Gulf game drilling in U.S. blocks unaffected by the moratorium, and Pemex has just slipped further behind, said George Baker, head of the Houston-based consulting firm Energia.com.
Pemex “has no plan, no technology, no anything to show for the last 10 years,” he said.
At a conference last week on Mexico’s 2008 energy reforms, Pemex officials said they do have a Gulf strategy and have begun exploration.
Using contracted equipment, Pemex has drilled 10 deep-water exploratory wells since 2004, but so far hasn’t developed any.
Currently, Mexico has one deep-water platform in the Gulf, said Jose Antonio Escalera, deputy director for technical exploration at Pemex. In 2012, he said, Pemex expects to have four as it intensifies deep-water activity.
Pemex hit a crude production peak in 2004 at 3.4 million barrels a day before its biggest offshore complex, Cantarell, began a steady decline. The company expects to produce 2.5 million barrels a day this year.
In a January strategy report, Pemex identified nine areas in the Gulf for exploration, including the Mexican side of the area known as Perdido, which in Spanish means “lost.” Production from deep water deposits is a key part of Mexico’s strategic long-term energy plans.
Deep-water exploration and production requires drilling down to levels of a mile or more. The Perdido hub is moored at 8,000 feet. Traditionally, Pemex’s wells have measured in hundreds — and not thousands — of feet.
Pemex hopes to use new contracts to draw deep-water drillers into the Mexican side of the Gulf. Any company doing so can’t share any oil that’s found, nor be paid in oil, but could receive performance bonuses from Pemex.
Gulf experts speaking at the conference expressed caution on whether Pemex would generate much interest from deep-water experts such as Brazil’s Petrobras (PBR), which wanted to work with Pemex in the past but was turned down because of Mexican energy laws.
Oil exploration and production companies — like gamblers looking for the big win — usually want oil in return for risking billions of dollars on deep waters.
“Everywhere else, if I have success, I know I have barrels of oil to sell,” said Michelle Michot Foss, head of the Center For Energy Economics at the University of Texas–a conference sponsor. “You don’t get that in Mexico.”
Still, Foss said Pemex had a chance with its new contracts. “You have to get the bids out there transparently, and let people give it a crack to see if deals can be put together.”
President Felipe Calderon said recently the first incentive-based contracts would be for squeezing more oil and gas out of mature fields, and that a deep-water round of the contracts would come later.

Deepest ever Mexico's offshore oil well to be drilled in 2011


Mexico’s state oil company Pemex will delay its deepest-ever offshore well until next year due to concerns about deepwater drilling in the wake of the BP Plc oil spill, a top regulator said on Thursday.
“We are more concerned about best practices in deepwater,” Juan Carlos Zepeda, the head of Mexico’s recently formed National Hydrocarbons Commission (CNH), told reporters at an energy conference.
Zepeda said Pemex would drill its Maximino well sometime next year, but would not estimate when. It had been expected to start during the fourth quarter of this year.
A Pemex  official confirmed the delay of drilling the well, to be the deepest ever attempted by the company, citing a decision to try a less-challenging prospect first.
Pemex hopes its deepwater resources will someday reverse Mexico’s declining oil production. The deep waters of the Gulf of Mexico, which have emerged as a major oil production source for the United States, are largely unexplored in Mexican territory.
Mexico believes billions of barrels of oil lie in the deep waters of the Gulf, but exploration efforts are only beginning. Pemex has drilled fewer than 20 deepwater wells so far. It has made some modest natural gas and oil discoveries but has not yet turned up any major deepwater finds.
Zepeda said the delay would “give us the correct timing for finishing working with Pemex on their review of internal regulation and, in case it’s necessary on top of that, specific regulation for exploration and production.”
Company officials say they have no plans to slow future exploration despite safety concerns raised by the BP disaster.
NEW RIG
The hydrocarbons commission, set up under reforms to energy legislation enacted in 2008, has gradually been asserting its position as an independent regulatory body. Its power is limited to making recommendations to the energy ministry.
Zepeda said the commission was considering recommending enhanced safety rules for deepwater rigs similar to those the United States has been considering in the wake of the spill.
He said CNH was considering requiring a “double key” standard in which more than one person within Pemex would make final decisions on drilling procedures such as declaring that cementing on a well has been completed.
That would be a “core for an important transformation” in deepwater drilling, Zepeda said.
Mexico has been waiting for the delivery of a new drilling rig capable of operating in ultra-deep waters to test prospects like Maximino near the U.S. border. The rig is due to arrive in the fourth quarter of this year.
The rig, completed earlier this year in South Korea, is owned by local Mexican company Grupo R.
However instead of starting with Maximino, Pemex has decided to drill its Tulipau-1 prospect first to get familiar with the equipment, the Pemex official explained.
In the United States, the April 20 explosion on the Deepwater Horizon oil rig killed 11 workers and hurt the billion-dollar fishing and tourism industries across five states along the Gulf of Mexico.
The 9,600 foot (2,900 meter) Maximino well lies about 18.5 miles (30 km) from the U.S. border at sea.

New deep water Drilling rules announced by Mexico



Mexico’s upstream regulator, the National Hydrocarbons Commission, announced rules to govern deepwater drilling within the nation’s territorial waters.
The new regulations, published in Tuesday’s edition of El Diario Oficial — the Mexican equivalent of the Federal Register — are intended to prevent Macondo-like accidents and spills.
In a statement, the commission said the rules apply to all drilling in depths of 500 meters or more.
State-owned Pemex has to provide the commission with proof that it has the operational capacity and necessary infrastructure for deepwater drilling, whether directly or by means of contractors.
The state company will also be required to provide sufficient insurance and prepare procedures in order to cope with any emergency.
The new rules are being published just when Pemex is launching its most ambitious effort to drill in Mexican territorial deep waters, including in 2,800 meters some 18 miles south of the US border and within the Perdido Fold Belt.
The commission was formed as part of the energy reform approved by the Mexican Congress in late 2008. Before then, Pemex regulated itself in upstream matters.

Mexico a Solar Energy Gold Mine


Mexico City solar potential




















A new report out from Mexico’s energy department, SENER, delves
deeply into the nation’s vast solar energy potential, which is well
above that of current solar energy leaders Germany and Spain.
The report, Solar Energy Sector has a ton of info on the solar
 potential of Mexico,
but here are a number of key findings:
Only 0.06% of Mexico (in land area) would be needed to
power the entire nation from solar energy
(according to 2005 usage rates).
“Mexico’s average solar resources for PV (5 kWh/m2/day) are 
more than 60% higher than the best solar in Germany
(5.4 GW of installed PV).”
“PV installed in many cities across Northern and Central Mexico has an 
‘energy payback time’ (EPBT) of less than two years.”
“Northern Mexico’s Direct Normal Insolation is equivalent to 
the best in the U.S. Southwest and in the North African deserts.”
    Of course, Mexico isn’t living up to its solar potential yet.
    “Mexico is seriously underdeveloped in terms of solar
    energy technologies like solar photovoltaic (PV), concentrating
    solar power (CSP) and passive solar thermal (i.e., hot water heating),
    ” CalFinder Solar reports. “For example, as of a 2007-08 report –
    Mexico Solar Installations by Type – there are no concentrating
    solar power plants in Mexico, and 80 percent of the solar PV
     installations are not grid-connected. Moreover, 78 percent
    of the solar thermal installations are for heating swimming
    pools rather than residential wash water.”
    With Mexico City signing historic climate change legislation
    last week and the “Renewable Energy Development and Financing
     for Energy Transition Law” (LAERFTE in Mexico) in place since
     November 2008, hopefully the country will be tapping into its
    solar resources a lot more soon.
    Image via Greentech Media

    Mexico: Oil and Gas in Mexico: Recent Amendments in the Energy Sector

     


    20th Sept 2010 

    Article by Juan Carlos Serra
    Legal Framework
    According to the Mexican Constitution (the "Constitution"), the Nation has direct ownership of subsoil, as well as the exclusive right to develop and use petroleum and gas. Therefore, private ownership of hydrocarbons is forbidden and ownership of reserves of petroleum and gas belongs to the Nation.As a result, the Nation may not grant oil exploration and user rights to private entities. Similarly, all hydrocarbons and basic petrochemicals are deemed to be strategic, exclusively reserved to the Nation.
    The oil industry includes among others: (1) the exploration, use, refining, transportation, storage, distribution, and first hand sale of oil and products obtained from its refining; (2) the exploration, use, production, and first hand sales of gas, as well as its transportation and storage, and (3) the production, transportation, storage, distribution, and first hand sales of products derived from oil and gas.
    Currently, Petroleos Mexicanos ("PEMEX"), a federal governmental agency, and its subsidiaries have the exclusive right to carry out all aspects of the oil and gas industry in Mexico, excluding the storage, transportation, distribution, and operation of natural gas pipelines, as well as the transportation, distribution, storage and sale of liquefied petroleum gas. PEMEX's current structure is composed of five divisions: (1) PEMEX-Exploration and Production, in charge of the exploration and production of oil and natural gas; (2) PEMEX-Refining, which refines crude oil into gasoline, diesel and liquefied petroleum gas; (3) PEMEX-Gas and Basic Petrochemicals, in charge of processing, transporting, distributing and marketing of natural and liquefied petroleum gas; (4) PEMEX-Petrochemical, is in charge of the production and marketing of basic petrochemicals; and (5) PEMEX-International Trade, which buys, sells and trades oil, refined products and petrochemicals.
    Private companies and individuals may hold one or more authorizations for the storage, supply and sale in gas stations of liquefied petroleum gas. Liquefied petroleum gas is exclusively produced by PEMEX. The distribution and sale may be carried out through a PEMEX branch, by individuals, private companies or through services agreements made with such persons, provided prior authorization is given by the Ministry of Economy.
    The petrochemical industry is divided into basic and secondary petrochemical industries. Ownership, production, and use of the basic petrochemical industry or products are exclusively reserved to the Nation, exclusively by PEMEX. The secondary petrochemical industry is not considered part of the strategic areas established as such in the Mexican Constitution and, therefore, the private sector, including foreign investors, may operate in this area.

    Recent Amendments to Laws in the Energy Sector

    After a review by Congress of several legislative proposals made by the President and several political parties to amend and enact new laws dealing with the energy sector, on November 28, 2008, energy reforms were published in the Federal Official Gazette and entered into force on November 29, 2008. The constant low level of oil extraction and production, as well as decreasing market prices, contributed to motivating Congress to approve the series of legislative proposals that will give PEMEX tools to be more efficient.
    The energy reforms are intended to modernize and improve the gas, oil, and bio-energy industries in Mexico, allowing greater participation by the private sector as contractors or service providers, and strengthening the organization and operation of PEMEX.
    The amendments and new laws may be summarized as follows:
    • Amendments to Several Articles of the Law Regulating Article 27 of the Constitution with Respect to Petroleum.
    • Amendments to Article 33 of the Federal Public Administration Organizational Law, granting additional authority to the Department of Energy to establish and manage energy policies.
    • Passing of the National Hydrocarbons Commission Law which contemplates the creation of such a commission with the technical capacity to regulate and supervise the exploration and extraction of hydrocarbons.
    • Amendments to Several Articles of the Law that Establishes the Energy Regulatory Commission, providing it with greater authority and technical, operational, managing, and decision-making independence.
    • Passing of the Sustainable Use of Energy Law to seek to optimize the careful use of energy, from production to consumption.
    • Finally, Passing the Mexican Petroleum Law which will regulate the organization and the operation of PEMEX. This Law will control the contractual involvement of PEMEX with private companies interested in taking part in the hydrocarbon sector. In addition, the Mexican Petroleum Law is supposed to strengthen the PEMEX Board of Directors by giving it full authority to conduct PEMEX's business and allowing the participation of independent directors and the hiring of private contractors through a more simple and expedited process, different from that applicable to all other government entities. One of the most relevant aspects of the reform is that PEMEX will be allowed to agree on variable compensations to be paid to private contractors that may apply mainly when the service is performed before schedule and when new technologies are given to PEMEX as a result of the rendering of the service.

    The new Board of Directors is composed of 15 members, six appointed by the President, five members appointed by the Oil Workers Union, and four professional members nominated by the President and approved by the Senate. To strengthen the operation of the Board of Directors, this new law also establishes mainly the following committees: (i) Evaluation of Development; (ii) Investments and Strategy; and (iii) Acquisitions, Leases, Works, and Services.
    Notwithstanding the foregoing and although the energy reforms give PEMEX more autonomy, new regulations, manuals and commissions will have to be created to complement the energy reforms. It will not be possible to truly know their reach and benefits for at least one to two years.
    The reforms were not what the business community expected and do not solve the problems and challenges Mexico is facing when it comes to the oil and gas sector. For instance, the proposal made by the President allowed private investors to take part in refining and in the transportation and warehousing of gas, oil refined products and basic petrochemicals, but this was not passed by Congress. Nevertheless, some in the industry are eagerly looking forward to knowing the details of the regulations and manuals to be issued by PEMEX, especially those dealing with the variable compensation schemes to be applied. Mexico has a strong challenge to make this scheme attractive to private contractors in order to bring into the country the resources and technology (especially when it comes to deep water drilling) that is required in order to develop the industry.
    This article was previously published by the Institute for Energy Law in The Energy Law Advisor

    Study Identifies Mexico as Huge Solar Resource



    Mexico is a solar energy opportunity without parallel, according to a reportfrom Greentech Media (via Rhone Resch’s Twitter post).
    mexico solar potiential
    The report, Solar Energy Sector, was prepared by Mexico’s energy department, SENER, formally known as the Mexican SecretarĂ­a de EnergĂ­a. Resch, in case you didn’t know, is president and CEO of the Solar Energy Industries Association, or SEIA, a powerful solar interest trade group. So the report is bound to be good.
    More than good, it’s extensive, with a wealth of valuable charts and graphics – far too many to attempt to reproduce here. In essence, though, it notes that Mexico has been ranked at the top, globally, in terms of its solar photovoltaic (PV) andsolar thermal resources.
    This is not all that surprising to those of us who have visited Mazatlan in the summer. For the rest, consider these facts:
    • Mexico’s solar insolation values are about 5 kilowatt-hours per meter squared per day (kWh/mW/day), which compares favorably with southern California.
    • Using just 0.06 percent of Mexico’s landmass (or 25 square kilometers in Chihuahua or the Sonoran Desert) would be enough to provide the entire country with electricity (at 2005 rates of usage).
    Not only is Mexico’s average solar insolation 60 percent greater than in Germany, where solar is currently king, but – according to the International Energy Agency’s (IEA’s) EA Photovoltaic Power Systems Program 2008 Annual Report – Mexico is seriously underdeveloped in terms of solar energy technologies like solar photovoltaic (PV), concentrating solar power (CSP) and passive solar thermal (i.e., hot water heating).
    For example, as of a 2007-08 report – Mexico Solar Installations by Type – there are no concentrating solar power plants in Mexico, and 80 percent of the solar PV installations are not grid-connected. Moreover, 78 percent of the solar thermal installations are forheating swimming pools rather than residential wash water.
    Given that Baja is one of Mexico’s best solar insolation resources, and that the Aubanel Wind Project being installed there is exporting some (perhaps most) of its energy output to the U.S., it makes sense to consider solar projects “across the border” that benefit Mexico (in terms of power sales) and the U.S., in terms of clean, renewable energy.